It is that time again. The election is upon us and the biggest two questions I am repeatedly asked is who is going to win and who is going to be the Speaker of the House in the 81st Legislative Session. I have a good sense of most of the Texas House races, although a hand full could still break in either direction. I am comfortable in saying that the most likely result of Tuesday's election will be a two or three member pick up for the Democrats in the Texas House. Out of respect for my colleagues I will for the moment refrain from identifying individual races. I do think however that a Democratic wave has Republicans concerned about their majority status in the future of Texas politics. The city of Houston and the Harris County Courthouse is likely to follow the trend initiated in Dallas. This plus significant gains on the federal level and a pick up in the Texas House is a clear indication of a larger trend towards a more moderate Texas political landscape.
It is still possible that the political wave sweeping Texas could result in a larger pick up for Democrats but at the present time a two to three member pick up will be the most likely result. Although a 75-75 member partisan split could result in an interesting political free for all, the victor in the Speaker's race should be immediately apparent within moments of the receipt of the last return.
This is a banner year for Democrats. Not only will we win the White House, have significant gains in Congress but it is very evident to me that we should pick up seats in the Texas House of Representatives.
2 comments:
For some reason, I am not comforted by this idea.
If what you are saying is true I am expecting Tom Craddick to be re-elected.
Post a Comment